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AL-04 Congressional District
Alabama-4 US House 2026
97.7
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
6
Active Contracts
3


Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
96.2PMI
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?
$11
93.0PMI
Will Robert Aderholt win the Alabama 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$10
98.9PMI
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-04? - Amanda Pusczek
$0
94.2PMI
Will Republican win the House race for AL-04? - Robert Aderholt
$0
94.0PMI
Will Amanda Pusczek win the Alabama 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
99.3PMI
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-04 House seat?
$0