The Global War Index — by country
Market-implied armed-conflict heat per country, rolled up by region and to a GDP/population-weighted world score, from live prediction-market contracts.
Prediction Market Indexes
PMIs aggregate & structure related prediction market contracts into one index. PMIs are powered by more data, resulting in stronger predictive power. Micah PMIs account for many variables, such as volume and relevancy.
Middle East Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Middle East, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Americas Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Americas, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Asia Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Asia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Africa Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Africa, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Europe Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Europe, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Oceania Conflict Index
RegionA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict across Oceania, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Jordan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Jordan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Sudan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Sudan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Myanmar Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Myanmar, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Lebanon Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Lebanon, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
United Arab Emirates Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in United Arab Emirates, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Bahrain Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Bahrain, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Saudi Arabia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Saudi Arabia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Guyana Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Guyana, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Ukraine Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Ukraine, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Cambodia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Cambodia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Thailand Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Thailand, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Venezuela Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Venezuela, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Iran Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Iran, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Russia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Russia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Israel Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Israel, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Gaza Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Gaza, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Yemen Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Yemen, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Kyrgyzstan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Kyrgyzstan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Tajikistan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Tajikistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Taiwan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Taiwan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Nigeria Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Nigeria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Algeria Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Algeria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Morocco Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Morocco, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Kuwait Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Kuwait, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
United States Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in United States, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Philippines Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Philippines, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Ethiopia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Ethiopia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Qatar Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Qatar, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
China Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in China, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Afghanistan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Afghanistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Syria Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Syria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Azerbaijan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Azerbaijan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Japan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Japan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Eritrea Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Eritrea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Brazil Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Brazil, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
West Bank Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in West Bank, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Mali Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Mali, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Turkey Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Turkey, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
United Kingdom Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in United Kingdom, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Pakistan Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Pakistan, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Oman Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Oman, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Cuba Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Cuba, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Vietnam Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Vietnam, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Solomon Islands Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Solomon Islands, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Australia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Australia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Panama Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Panama, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
France Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in France, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Egypt Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Egypt, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Greenland Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Greenland, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Canada Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Canada, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Mexico Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Mexico, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Iraq Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Iraq, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
South Korea Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in South Korea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Germany Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Germany, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
India Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in India, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Bangladesh Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Bangladesh, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Greece Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Greece, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Denmark Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Denmark, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Poland Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Poland, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Belarus Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Belarus, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
North Korea Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in North Korea, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Estonia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Estonia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Colombia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Colombia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Cyprus Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Cyprus, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Armenia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Armenia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Georgia Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Georgia, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
Bulgaria Conflict Index
CountryA prediction market index for significant geopolitical or military conflict in Bulgaria, aggregating all related prediction-market contracts into one PMI.
