Markets Index
Bitcoin, the S&P 500 and US growth on one 0–100 PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one. scale. 50 is a balanced bull/bearAbove 50, more money is on the price going up; below 50, on it going down. book.
Bitcoin
Reads 46.5, just below balanced. “Monthly average” contracts moved most over 14 days: down 8.9 points to 45.
Series runs continuously across methodology updates. Range Oct 20 to today: 37.5 to 54.1.
Free with a Micah account: each exchange’s price for this question, and where they disagree.
Sign in free with GoogleThe exchanges price it within a point of each other.
Reading 0–100, 50 = balanced; change over 14 days; weight = share of relevancy.
Free with a Micah account: each group of contracts, its own reading, and its weight in the index.
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