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Today's prediction market indexes

Today's top movers

The markets that moved most over the last 24 hours, and the indexes they shifted.

Market	24h Δ (pts)	Probability	Index
Will Democratic win the House race for MO-05? - Democratic party	▲ 42	95%	House Index
Will Republican win the House race for MO-05? - Republican party	▼ 40	6%	House Index
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?	▲ 35	92%	MAGA Index
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 7 2026?	▼ 34	10%	S&P 500 Index
Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? - $78,000 or above	▼ 31	26%	BTC Index
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	▼ 31	14%	US GDP Index
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 11, 2026?	▲ 29	100%	Global War Index
Will Sep-26 S&P 500 Index Futures settle above $7,675 on September 10 2026? (ES) (Stock market) (Wall Street) (Equities) (CME)?	▼ 28	9%	S&P 500 Index
Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? - $77,000 or above	▼ 27	48%	BTC Index
Will the S&P/TSX Composite Index be at least 37,000 in 2026?	▼ 27	72%	S&P 500 Index
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?	▼ 26	14%	Global War Index
Bitcoin price on Sep 11, 2026? - $79,000 or above	▼ 25	11%	BTC Index

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Last updated: July 17, 2026

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