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CA-04 Congressional District
California-4 US House 2026
39.1
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
9
Active Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
9
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
25.0PMI
Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election? - Mike Thompson
$500
76.0PMI
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
$46
34.0PMI
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
$15
22.0PMI
Will Mike Thompson win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$10
2.0PMI
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?
$0
4.0PMI
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?
$0
77.0PMI
Who will win the 2026 CA-04 House election? - Eric Jones
$0
77.0PMI
Will Eric Jones win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
97.0PMI
Will Sharon Brown win the California 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0