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CA-40 Congressional District
California-40 US House 2026
50.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
6
Active Contracts
3


Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
65.0PMI
Will Ken Calvert win the CA-40 House seat?
$39
36.0PMI
Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?
$6
67.0PMI
Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election? - Ken Calvert
$0
33.0PMI
Who will win the 2026 CA-40 House election? - Young Kim
$0
62.0PMI
Will Ken Calvert win the California 40th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
37.0PMI
Will Young Kim win the California 40th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0