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MD-04 Congressional District
Maryland-4 US House 2026
1.6
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
6
Active Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
8.2PMI
Will Democratic win the House race for MD-04? - Glenn Ivey
$0
0.1PMI
Will Republican win the House race for MD-04? - George McDermott
$0
10.0PMI
Will Glenn Ivey win the Maryland 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
94.0PMI
Will George McDermott win the Maryland 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
0.5PMI
Will the Republican Party win the MD-04 House seat?
$0
2.6PMI
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-04 House seat?
$0