++++
NY-04 Congressional District
New York-4 US House 2026
5.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
7
Active Contracts
3
Prediction Market Exchanges
7
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
7.0PMI
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?
$167
4.0PMI
Will the Republican Party win the NY-04 House seat?
$0
85.0PMI
Will Jeanine Driscoll win the New York 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
17.0PMI
Will Laura Gillen win the New York 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
11.0PMI
Will Anthony D'Esposito win the New York 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
8.4PMI
Will Democratic win the House race for NY-4? - Laura Gillen
$0
6.9PMI
Will Republican win the House race for NY-4? - Jeanine Driscoll
$0