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PA-04 Congressional District
Pennsylvania-4 US House 2026
5.2
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
DemocraticRepublican
6
Active Contracts
3


Prediction Market Exchanges
6
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
5.8PMI
Will Democratic win the House race for PA-04? - Madeleine Dean
$0
3.8PMI
Will Republican win the House race for PA-04? - Aurora Stuski
$0
88.0PMI
Will Ismaine Ayouaz win the Pennsylvania 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
9.0PMI
Will Madeleine Dean win the Pennsylvania 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
$0
6.0PMI
Will the Republican Party win the PA-04 House seat?
$0
5.0PMI
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat?
$0