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US GDP growth · Q2 2026
Every prediction-market contract for this period, folded into one market-implied expected growth rate and the 0–100 economic-expectation sentiment (50 = neutral).
37.6
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
WeakStrong
1.4%
Implied GDP Growth
12
GDP Contracts
1
Prediction Market Exchanges
PMI Holdings
The underlying markets — bucket ranges and thresholds — whose prices imply the expected growth rate above. The number is each contract's market price P(YES); the growth level it references is shown alongside.
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
6.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 3% in Q2 2026?
$0
9.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2.5% in Q2 2026?
$0
33.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 2% in Q2 2026?
$0
56.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1.5% in Q2 2026?
$0
72.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 1% in Q2 2026?
$0
90.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0.5% in Q2 2026?
$0
92.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed 0% in Q2 2026?
$0
92.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -0.5% in Q2 2026?
$0
93.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1% in Q2 2026?
$0
94.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -1.5% in Q2 2026?
$0
95.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2% in Q2 2026?
$0
98.0PMI
Will the annualized growth rate in US Real GDP exceed -2.5% in Q2 2026?
$0