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S&P 500 above on Sep 11, 2026
One prediction-market question, folding the strikes and dated variants that ask it across exchanges. The trend is the question's aggregate Bull/Bear over time.
49.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
BearishBullish
7
Contracts
1
Prediction Market Exchanges
1
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
0.2PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $785 on September 11?Above a price level
$510
0.2PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on September 11?Above a price level
$23
14.0PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 11?Above a price level
$628
65.0PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 11?Above a price level
$200
88.0PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on September 11?Above a price level
$623
80.0PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on September 11?Above a price level
$348
99.0PMI
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on September 11?Above a price level
$64