Markets Index
Bitcoin, the S&P 500 and US growth on one 0–100 PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one. scale. 50 is a balanced bull/bearAbove 50, more money is on the price going up; below 50, on it going down. book.
The S&P 500 sits just above balanced. “Other S&P 500 markets” contracts fell 5.7 points over 14 days.
S&P 500 BULL/BEAR
54.8
▲ 1.0 24h · 50 = balanced
INDEX HISTORY
Balanced, leaning bullish
50
Oct 20Oct 24Now
Relative gauge. Range Oct 20 to today: 47.7 to 71.3.
WHAT EACH KIND OF CONTRACT SAYS
Strike ladders, read bear → bull
BEAR50BULL
Intraday direction73
Price range50
Above a price level56
Below a price level92
Other S&P 500 markets52
Dot size = share of relevancy. “Above a price level” contracts carry 63% of it. Read the S&P as a relative gauge: strikes are bare index points.
See what drives the reading
Free with a Micah account: each kind of contract, its own reading, and its weight in the index.
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UNDERLYING MARKETS
What's driving the index
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?97%Will the S&P 500 be between 7600 and 7799.99 on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? - 7,600 to 7,799.9915%Will Mar-27 S&P 500 Index Futures settle above $7,600 on December 31 2026?74%All contracts, by question →
152CONTRACTS
5EXCHANGES
16QUESTIONS
7,729IMPLIED LEVEL