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Oceania Conflict Index

Regional armed-conflict heat — a GDP/population-weighted mean over the region's full country roster (absent countries count as 0).

8.8
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
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Contracts
2ManifoldMetaculus
Prediction Market Exchanges
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PMI Holdings
Region conflict map

Countries