++++
Canada
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
9.6
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
4
Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
4
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
10.2PMI
Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?Manifold
$25.5k
10.3PMI
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029Manifold
$11.6k
7.0PMI
Will Canada get nuclear weapons by eoy2031Manifold
$439
8.0PMI
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?Polymarket
$0