Americas
Every country in Americas, weighted by GDP and population, rolled into one PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one.. Countries with no market count as zero.
LIVE$287K TRADED / 24H·5 OF 35 COUNTRIES PRICED·105 CONTRACTS·3 EXCHANGES·AS OF OCT 27, 16:57 UTC
8.6Americas · 3rd of 5 regions
▲ 0.8 24h · ▲ 0.5 7 days
▲ 0.8 24h · ▲ 0.5 7 days
Americas reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
18.930D HIGH
7.630D LOW
▼ 7.430D CHANGE
✦ MICAH BRIEF · AMERICASUPDATED 16:57 UTC
Americas reads calm, 3rd of 5 regions. United States led the week, up 1.4.
United States rose to 13.2 this week+1.4
30 of 35 countries have no market—
COLOR = PMI · GRAY = NO MARKET
PMI 0–100
015304560
No market — a coverage gap, not peace
By country · 5 of 35 priced · tap one
Countries ranked by PMI
Sort by
COUNTRYPMI24H7D
United States ›104 contracts · $287K13.2+1.4+1.4Colombia ›THIN2 contracts · $32911.8——Cuba ›6 contracts · $20K8.5−1.2+1.0Venezuela ›THIN2 contracts · $373.9——Mexico ›THIN4 contracts · $1K1.7——Thin = under $10K a day, where one trade can move the price. — = no move recorded for this window.
Contracts to watch · AMERICAS
Where the money is
QUESTIONYES24H VOL
U.S. military or CIA kinetic action against Brazil before end of 2027?Manifold ◦ · United States8%Ṁ40KWill USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?Manifold ◦ · United States10%Ṁ25KUS government uses live ammunition on protestors before end of presidential term?Manifold ◦ · United States31%Ṁ13KWill any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?Manifold ◦ · United States9%Ṁ13KWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Polymarket · Cuba5%$13KUS and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029Manifold ◦ · United States6%Ṁ12KAll 54 questionsA question folds every contract that asks it, across exchanges. 24h vol = real money traded today. ◦ = play money, not counted.