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Egypt
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
10.4
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
3
Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
3
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
2.0PMI
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?Metaculus
$141
35.0PMI
Will state-based conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?Metaculus
$37
4.3PMI
Will Iran target Egypt by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$0