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Greenland
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
10.3
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
4
Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
4
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
10.2PMI
Will USA use military force to take control over either Greenland, Canada or the Panama Canal before 2029?Manifold
$25.5k
14.0PMI
Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?Manifold
$4.1k
25.1PMI
Contingent on Greenland invasion by USA, China invades Taiwan within 1 year?Manifold
$665
3.0PMI
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Polymarket
$15