MO-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.9enters as 1.9
Democrats win
98.1enters as 100 − 98.1 = 1.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MO-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for MO-01? - Paul Berry2.1Will Democratic win the House race for MO-01? - Wesley Bell97.9MO-01 General Election — Paul Berry III9.0MO-01 General Election — Wesley Bell96.0Will Wesley Bell win the Missouri 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0Will the Republican Party win the MO-01 House seat?1.4
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.9 · rows open on the exchange