2026 Balance of Power Index

36 states elect a governor in 2026; 14 are holdovers from other cycles. Governorships are 50 independent executives rather than a chamber, so the reading is a projected count against 26.

50

Total Governorships

36

2026 Elections

14

Holdover Governorships

4

Prediction Market Exchanges

36

Race PMIs

40.7%

GOP Majority Probability

48.1%

Dem Majority Probability

Projected Governor composition

50 seats · 26 to control · 3 toss-ups

18

5

1

3

1

4

18

013253850

Safe Dem · 18Likely Dem · 5Lean Dem · 1Toss-up · 3Lean GOP · 1Likely GOP · 4Safe GOP · 18

Full chamber — all 50 governors. The Safe bands fold in 14 governors held over from earlier cycles (not on the 2026 ballot); only the 36 contested seats appear in Race PMIs below.

Race PMIs

Each contested governor race is a single-factor PMI aggregating contracts across every prediction-market exchange that lists it. Click a race to drill into its state page.

97.4PMI

Arkansas governor 2026

Governor

AR

4 Contracts$0 24h vol

96.8PMI

Idaho governor 2026

Governor

ID

4 Contracts$2 24h vol

96.4PMI

Tennessee governor 2026

Governor

TN

4 Contracts$272 24h vol

96.0PMI

Wyoming governor 2026

Governor

WY

4 Contracts$0 24h vol

95.5PMI

South Dakota governor 2026

Governor

SD

4 Contracts$330 24h vol

94.4PMI

South Carolina governor 2026

Governor

SC

4 Contracts$155 24h vol

93.4PMI

Oklahoma governor 2026

Governor

OK

4 Contracts$365 24h vol

93.0PMI

Nebraska governor 2026

Governor

NE

6 Contracts$37 24h vol

91.9PMI

Vermont governor 2026

Governor

VT

6 Contracts$144 24h vol

89.8PMI

Alabama governor 2026

Governor

AL

6 Contracts$210 24h vol

84.7PMI

New Hampshire governor 2026

Governor

NH

2 Contracts$25 24h vol

82.1PMI

Texas governor 2026

Governor

TX

6 Contracts$7.7k 24h vol

80.5PMI

Florida governor 2026

Governor

FL

6 Contracts$278.0k 24h vol

67.0PMI

Kansas governor 2026

Governor

KS

4 Contracts$12 24h vol

56.5PMI

Nevada governor 2026

Governor

NV

6 Contracts$19.3k 24h vol

44.2PMI

Ohio governor 2026

Governor

OH

6 Contracts$4.1k 24h vol

44.0PMI

Georgia governor 2026

Governor

GA

6 Contracts$1.1k 24h vol

35.5PMI

Alaska governor 2026

Governor

AK

2 Contracts$4.1k 24h vol

21.5PMI

Iowa governor 2026

Governor

IA

6 Contracts$6.4k 24h vol

18.5PMI

Wisconsin governor 2026

Governor

WI

6 Contracts$54.2k 24h vol

16.5PMI

Oregon governor 2026

Governor

OR

4 Contracts$11.9k 24h vol

13.7PMI

Arizona governor 2026

Governor

AZ

8 Contracts$316 24h vol

10.5PMI

Michigan governor 2026

Governor

MI

6 Contracts$1.9k 24h vol

7.7PMI

New York governor 2026

Governor

NY

6 Contracts$25.5k 24h vol

6.5PMI

New Mexico governor 2026

Governor

NM

6 Contracts$73 24h vol

5.8PMI

Massachusetts governor 2026

Governor

MA

6 Contracts$8.0k 24h vol

4.9PMI

Connecticut governor 2026

Governor

CT

6 Contracts$0 24h vol

4.6PMI

Minnesota governor 2026

Governor

MN

6 Contracts$459 24h vol

4.5PMI

Colorado governor 2026

Governor

CO

6 Contracts$17.2k 24h vol

4.5PMI

Maryland governor 2026

Governor

MD

6 Contracts$69 24h vol

4.5PMI

Illinois governor 2026

Governor

IL

4 Contracts$143 24h vol

4.4PMI

Maine governor 2026

Governor

ME

4 Contracts$37 24h vol

4.1PMI

California governor 2026

Governor

CA

2 Contracts$11.0k 24h vol

3.6PMI

Pennsylvania governor 2026

Governor

PA

6 Contracts$310 24h vol

3.1PMI

Rhode Island governor 2026

Governor

RI

6 Contracts$0 24h vol

2.5PMI

Hawaii governor 2026

Governor

HI

4 Contracts$2 24h vol