MO-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.0enters as 4.0
Democrats win
96.0enters as 100 − 96.0 = 4.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MO-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for MO-05? - Rick Brattin4.3Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?3.5Will Democratic win the House race for MO-05? - Emanuel Cleaver95.9Missouri-05 House Winner - Richard Brattin6.0Missouri-05 House Winner - Emanuel Cleaver98.0MO-05 General Election — Robert Foltz2.0
Show all 12 contracts
MO-05 General Election — Rick Brattin4.0MO-05 General Election — Emanuel Cleaver96.0Will Rick Brattin win the Missouri 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will Robert Foltz win the Missouri 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Emanuel Cleaver win the Missouri 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?95.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.0 · rows open on the exchange