Hottest year on record
Folded across every exchange pricing it, weighted by money.
75.90–100 · 100 = certain
▼ 4.9 since Sep 12
▼ 4.9 since Sep 12
8 contracts · 5 exchanges · $2.3k traded / 24h · as of OCT 27, 16:00 UTC
READING · ONE FOLD OF EVERY CONTRACT
Sep 12low 40.0 · high 85.3Now
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What's moving "Hottest year on record"?EVERY CONTRACT · OPENS ON ITS EXCHANGE
8 contracts on 5 exchanges
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Polymarket ↗ · $294 / 24h88%Will 2026 Be the Hottest Year Ever? — HottestIBKR ↗80%Record Temperature — 2026 Warmest Year on RecordIBKR ↗75%Will 2026 Be the Hottest Year Ever? — HottestIBKR ↗75%Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Kalshi ↗ · $2.0k / 24h74%Will 2026 be the warmest year on record?ForecastEx ↗ · $0 / 24h70%Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Manifold ↗ · play money · not weighted36%Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Manifold ↗ · play money · not weighted34%
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