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Gatorian vs Revenge

One match on Kalshi and Polymarket. The big number is the cross-exchange price; the gap is how far the exchanges disagree.

LiveCS2 · United21 2026$24 traded / 24h2 exchangesStarts OCT 28 · 09:00 UTC
Who wins · cross-exchange
Gatorian65%VSRevenge35%
8.0 pt apart between exchanges
Each exchange's read on Gatorian
Kalshi65.0%
Polymarket57.0%

The exchanges are 8 points apart on a thin book, so a single order can explain most of it.

See every exchange’s price

Free with a Micah account: each exchange’s price for this question, and where they disagree.

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Gatorian win chance · last 1 days
Oct 26dashed line = 50%Oct 27 · 65%
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Every contract on this match

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Why do Kalshi and Polymarket disagree on Gatorian vs Revenge?
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