US GDP growth · Q1 2027
Every contract for this period, folded into one implied growth rate and a 0–100 PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one.. 50 is growth at potential.
GROWTH SENTIMENT · 50 = NEUTRAL
51.2At or above potential · ▲ 0.5 30d
WEAK50STRONG
30-DAY RANGE
30d low 50.630d high 51.5
2.0%IMPLIED GROWTH
2.0%POTENTIAL
PMI HOLDINGS · STRIKE ORDER
The growth ladder
9 contracts across Kalshi, ordered by the growth threshold each one references. Together they imply 2.0% growth for Q1 2027, at or above the 2.0% potential.
CONTRACTSTRIKEPMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 4.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h4.0%13%Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 3.5%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h3.5%12%Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 3.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h3.0%33%Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 2.5%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h2.5%39%Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 2.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h2.0%54%Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 1.5%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h1.5%61%Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 1.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h1.0%66%Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 0.5%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h0.5%88%Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 0.0%Kalshi ↗ · $0 / 24h0.0%95%