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US GDP growth · Q1 2027
Every prediction-market contract for this period, folded into one market-implied expected growth rate and the 0–100 economic-expectation sentiment (50 = neutral).
45.3
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
WeakStrong
1.8%
Implied GDP Growth
9
GDP Contracts
1
Prediction Market Exchanges
PMI Holdings
The underlying markets — bucket ranges and thresholds — whose prices imply the expected growth rate above. The number is each contract's market price P(YES); the growth level it references is shown alongside.
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
2.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 4.0%
$0
13.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 3.5%
$0
28.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 3.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 3.0%
$0
42.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 2.5%
$0
52.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 2.0%
$0
62.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 1.5%
$0
72.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 1.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 1.0%
$0
76.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027? - Above 0.5%
$0
84.0PMI
Will real GDP increase by more than 0.0% in Q1 2027? - Above 0.0%
$0