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S&P 500 above by Dec 31, 2026
One prediction-market question, folding the strikes and dated variants that ask it across exchanges. The trend is the question's aggregate Bull/Bear over time.
64.5
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
BearishBullish
9
Contracts
1
Prediction Market Exchanges
1
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
ScoreMarket24h VolExchanges
4.6PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $10,000 (HIGH) in December?Above a price level
$22
3.5PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?Above a price level
$13
54.0PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$140
30.0PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$415
16.3PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$3.2k
12.0PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$1.1k
8.0PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$851
5.0PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$5.1k
2.5PMI
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?Above a price level
$54