Global War IndexArmed-conflict risk, by country and region 2026 Balance of PowerSenate, House and governors after November 3 Markets IndexBitcoin, the S&P 500 and US growth Climate & WeatherGlobal warming records and US city heat SportsNFL games and MLB title chances EsportsCS2, Valorant and League matches LoL Worlds bracketAll indexes →

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Global War IndexArmed-conflict risk, by country and region›2026 Balance of PowerSenate, House and governors after November 3›Markets IndexBitcoin, the S&P 500 and US growth›Climate & WeatherGlobal warming records and US city heat›SportsNFL games and MLB title chances›EsportsCS2, Valorant and League matches›└LoL Worlds bracket›All indexesEvery reading on one page›

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✦Today’s brief, explainedHouse, Global War, BTC, risk map ↗Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-04? - Rachel Peace▲ 12.3 today20%See all results for “today”→

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LIVE BOARD16:40 UTC

GEOPOLITICSCHANGE · 24H

Global War8.8▼ 0.6

POLITICS · NOV 3CHANGE · 24H

SenateGOP control38%▼ 1.5 HouseGOP control19%▼ 0.7 GovernorsGOP majority25%▼ 0.8

MARKETSCHANGE · 24H

Bitcoin58.9▼ 0.3 S&P 50055.3▲ 1.7 US GDP61.2—

CLIMATE

Global warmingRecord-heat reading75.9 City heatHottest: Phoenix87°Ftoday

SPORTS & ESPORTSTHIS WEEK

SportsNFL, MLB15games EsportsCS2, Valorant, LoL101matches All indexes→

MOVED MOST · 24H

Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-04? - Rachel Peace▲ 12Kalshi ↗ · 8% → 20%Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4? - Sean McCann▼ 9.0Kalshi ↗ · 61% → 52%Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat?▲ 8.0Polymarket ↗ · 33% → 41%