AZ-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.5enters as 2.5
Democrats win
97.5enters as 100 − 97.5 = 2.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AZ-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat?1.5AZ-07 General Election — Daniel Butierez3.0AZ-07 General Election — Adelita Grijalva97.0Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-07? - Adelita Grijalva95.7Will Republican win the House race for AZ-07? - Daniel Francis Butierez Sr.3.9Will the Democratic party win the Arizona's 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.5 · rows open on the exchange
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