CA-12 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.3enters as 1.3
Democrats win
98.7enters as 100 − 98.7 = 1.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-12 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the CA-12 House seat?0.5Will the Democratic Party win the CA-12 House seat?96.1CA-12 General Election — Jamie Joyce4.0CA-12 General Election — Lateefah Simon90.0Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? - Jamie Joyce2.0Who will win the 2026 CA-12 House election? - Lateefah Simon97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.3 · rows open on the exchange
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