California Governor 2026
The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.2enters as 3.2
Democrats win
96.8enters as 100 − 96.8 = 3.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Other 2026 races
Also on the ballot in California
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 55
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Will the Republican party win the governorship in California - Steve Hilton4.3Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?3.1Will the Democratic party win the governorship in California - Xavier Becerra96.5California Governor Winner - Steve Hilton6.0Will Xavier Becerra OR Tom Steyer win the 2026 California Governor election?97.0Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?96.8
Show all 55 contracts
Will Kamala Harris be elected governor of California in 2026?1.0Will Eric Swalwell be elected the next Governor of California?1.0Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1California Governor General Election — Antonio Villaraigosa2.5California Governor General Election — Betty Yee2.5California Governor General Election — Tony Thurmond2.5California Governor General Election — Steve Hilton3.0California Governor General Election — Xavier Becerra95.0Will Xavier Becerra win the California general election for Governor in 2026?95.0Will Tony Thurmond win the California general election for Governor in 2026?3.0Will Betty Yee win the California general election for Governor in 2026?3.0Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California general election for Governor in 2026?3.0Will Eric Swalwell win the California general election for Governor in 2026?1.0Will Steve Hilton win the California general election for Governor in 2026?1.0California Governor Winner - Xavier Becerra98.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Matt Mahan1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Rob Bonta1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Eric Swalwell1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Chad Bianco1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Tom Steyer1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Ché Ahn1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Antonio Villaraigosa1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Eleni Kounalakis1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Rick Caruso1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Katie Porter1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Toni Atkins1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Kamala Harris1.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Steve Hilton4.0Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? - Xavier Becerra96.0Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?0.1
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