CA-22 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
8.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
8.8enters as 8.8
Democrats win
91.2enters as 100 − 91.2 = 8.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-22 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for CA-22? - David Valadao9.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?8.5California-22 House Winner - Randy Villegas93.0California-22 House Winner - David Valadao12.0CA-22 General Election — Jasmeet Bains4.0CA-22 General Election — David Valadao14.0
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CA-22 General Election — Randy Villegas87.0Will the Republican party win the California's 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?43.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-22? - Randy Villegas91.5Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?90.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 8.8 · rows open on the exchange
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