CA-46 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.1enters as 2.1
Democrats win
97.8enters as 100 − 97.8 = 2.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-46 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
CA-46 General Election — David Pan2.0CA-46 General Election — Lou Correa97.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-46? - Lou Correa97.7Will Republican win the House race for CA-46? - David Pan2.0Will Lou Correa win the California 46th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will David Pan win the California 46th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the CA-46 House seat?3.6Will the Democratic Party win the CA-46 House seat?95.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.1 · rows open on the exchange
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