CO-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
66.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
66.5enters as 66.5
Democrats win
33.5enters as 100 − 33.5 = 66.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CO-04 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
CO-04 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for CO-04? - Eileen Laubacher32.0Will Republican win the House race for CO-04? - Lauren Boebert68.0Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?34.0Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?65.5Colorado-04 House Winner - Eileen Laubacher33.0Colorado-04 House Winner - Lauren Boebert71.0
Show all 10 contracts
CO-04 General Election — Eileen Laubacher31.5CO-04 General Election — Lauren Boebert68.5Will the Republican party win the Colorado's 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?79.0Will the Democratic party win the Colorado's 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?22.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 66.5 · rows open on the exchange
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