FL-14 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
34.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
34.0enters as 34.0
Democrats win
66.0enters as 100 − 66.0 = 34.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-14 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
FL-14 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?65.5Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?32.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-14? - Kathy Castor66.0Will Republican win the House race for FL-14? - Mike Beltran34.0Florida-14 House Winner - Mike Beltran36.0Florida-14 House Winner - Kathy Castor67.0
Show all 10 contracts
FL-14 General Election — Mike Beltran33.0FL-14 General Election — Kathy Castor67.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?29.0Will the Democratic party win the Florida's 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?71.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 34.0 · rows open on the exchange
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