CT-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.8enters as 1.8
Democrats win
98.2enters as 100 − 98.2 = 1.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CT-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for CT-01? - Luke Bronin98.6CT-01 General Election — Amy Chai2.5CT-01 General Election — John Larson3.0CT-01 General Election — Luke Bronin93.0Will Republican win the House race for CT-01? - Amy Chai3.6Will the Republican party win the Connecticut's 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will the Democratic party win the Connecticut's 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the CT-01 House seat?1.6Will the Democratic Party win the CT-01 House seat?98.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.8 · rows open on the exchange
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