Connecticut Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$2K traded / 24h·14 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 24 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6Safe D · ▼ 0.8 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6
enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.4
enters as 100 − 96.4 = 3.6

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Connecticut

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Connecticut - Ryan Fazio4.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.0weight 97.7%Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?96.8Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 3.2weight 1.6%Will the Republicans win the Connecticut governor race in 2026?2.9Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.6%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Connecticut - Ned Lamont96.7Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 3.3weight 0.0%Connecticut Governor General Election — Erin Stewart2.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 2.0weight 0.0%Connecticut Governor General Election — Ryan Fazio5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%
Show all 14 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
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