IN-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.8enters as 2.8
Democrats win
97.2enters as 100 − 97.2 = 2.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IN-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will a Democrat win the House race for IN-1? - Frank Mrvan97.2Indiana-01 House Winner - Barb Regnitz4.0Indiana-01 House Winner - Frank Mrvan99.0IN-01 General Election — Barb Regnitz8.0IN-01 General Election — Frank Mrvan93.0Will a Republican win the House race for IN-1? - Barb Regnitz2.8
Show all 10 contracts
Will Barb Regnitz win the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will Frank Mrvan win the Indiana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will the Republican Party win the IN-01 House seat?1.9Will the Democratic Party win the IN-01 House seat?96.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.8 · rows open on the exchange