KY-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.6enters as 97.6
Democrats win
2.4enters as 100 − 2.4 = 97.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does KY-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for KY-01? - James Comer97.9Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat?97.5KY-01 General Election — John Andrew Williams4.0KY-01 General Election — James Comer97.0Will Democratic win the House race for KY-01? - Drew Williams3.0Will James Comer win the Kentucky 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will John Andrew Williams win the Kentucky 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will the Democratic Party win the KY-01 House seat?2.4
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.6 · rows open on the exchange
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