Kentucky Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.7enters as 96.7
Democrats win
3.3enters as 100 − 3.3 = 96.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Kentucky decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Kentucky? - Charles Booker3.8Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?2.5Will Republicans win the Senate race in Kentucky? - Andy Barr96.9Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?97.5Kentucky Senate General Election — Charles Booker4.5Kentucky Senate General Election — Andy Barr93.0
Show all 12 contracts
Kentucky US Senate Winner - Charles Booker6.0Kentucky US Senate Winner - Andy Barr99.0Will Charles Booker win the Kentucky general election for US Senate in 2026?3.0Will Andy Barr win the Kentucky general election for US Senate in 2026?93.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kentucky? - Democratic (Booker)5.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Kentucky? - Republican (Barr)95.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.7 · rows open on the exchange
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