KY-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.2enters as 1.2
Democrats win
98.8enters as 100 − 98.8 = 1.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does KY-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
KY-03 General Election — Maria Rodriguez8.0KY-03 General Election — Morgan McGarvey93.0Will Maria Rodriguez win the Kentucky 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will Morgan McGarvey win the Kentucky 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will Democratic win the House race for KY-03? - Morgan McGarvey98.2Will Republican win the House race for KY-03? - Maria Rodriguez3.2
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the KY-03 House seat?2.1Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?97.1
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.2 · rows open on the exchange
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