LA-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.0enters as 97.0
Democrats win
3.0enters as 100 − 3.0 = 97.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does LA-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat?97.0Will Democratic win the House race for LA-03? - Democratic party3.5LA-03 General Election — Tia LeBrun8.0LA-03 General Election — Clay Higgins91.0Will Republican win the House race for LA-03? - Republican party97.5Will Clay Higgins win the Louisiana 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Tia LeBrun win the Louisiana 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will the Democratic Party win the LA-03 House seat?3.1
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.0 · rows open on the exchange
Other Louisiana races this cycle