Louisiana Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
89.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
89.5enters as 89.5
Democrats win
10.5enters as 100 − 10.5 = 89.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Louisiana decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Louisiana? - Jamie Davis10.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Louisiana? - Julia Letlow89.0Republican wins 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana?93.2Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?90.5Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?9.5Louisiana Senate General Election — Bill Cassidy2.0
Show all 14 contracts
Louisiana Senate General Election — Jamie Davis7.0Louisiana Senate General Election — Julia Letlow91.0Louisiana US Senate Winner - Jamie Davis11.0Louisiana US Senate Winner - Julia Letlow93.0Will the Democratic party win the Louisiana general election for US Senate in 2026?20.0Will the Republican party win the Louisiana general election for US Senate in 2026?81.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? - Democratic (Davis)10.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Louisiana? - Republican (Letlow)90.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 89.5 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
Other Louisiana races this cycle