MD-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.9enters as 2.9
Democrats win
97.1enters as 100 − 97.1 = 2.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MD-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat?2.2MD-03 General Election — Berney Flowers4.0MD-03 General Election — Sarah Elfreth92.0Will Democratic win the House race for MD-03? - Sarah Elfreth98.0Will Republican win the House race for MD-03? - Berney Flowers3.1Will Sarah Elfreth win the Maryland 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.9 · rows open on the exchange
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