Maryland Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$3K traded / 24h·11 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 32 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.3Safe D · 0.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.3
enters as 2.3
Democrats win
97.7
enters as 100 − 97.7 = 2.3

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Maryland

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland - Dan Cox2.5Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 2.5weight 72.0%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maryland - Wes Moore97.9Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 2.1weight 26.4%Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026?97.7Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 2.4weight 1.6%Maryland Governor Winner - Dan Cox3.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%Maryland Governor Winner - Wes Moore99.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Maryland Governor General Election — Dan Cox4.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.0weight 0.0%
Show all 11 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.3 · rows open on the exchange
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