MO-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
63.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
63.4enters as 63.4
Democrats win
36.6enters as 100 − 36.6 = 63.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MO-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
MO-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for MO-02? - Ann Wagner64.0Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?38.0Will Democratic win the House race for MO-02? - Fred Wellman36.0Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?62.5Missouri-02 House Winner - Frederick Wellman37.0Missouri-02 House Winner - Ann Wagner67.0
Show all 10 contracts
MO-02 General Election — Frederick Wellman23.0MO-02 General Election — Ann Wagner68.5Will Frederick Wellman win the Missouri 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?28.0Will Ann Wagner win the Missouri 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?68.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 63.4 · rows open on the exchange