OH-15 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
63.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
63.6enters as 63.6
Democrats win
36.4enters as 100 − 36.4 = 63.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OH-15 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
OH-15 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-15? - Don Leonard36.0Will Republican win the House race for OH-15? - Mike Carey64.0Will the Republican Party win the OH-15 House seat?62.5Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?37.0OH-15 General Election — Don Leonard39.5OH-15 General Election — Mike Carey64.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Don Leonard win the Ohio 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?45.0Will Mike Carey win the Ohio 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?44.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 63.6 · rows open on the exchange
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