NC-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
71.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
71.2enters as 71.2
Democrats win
28.8enters as 100 − 28.8 = 71.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-09 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
NC-09 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-09? - Richard Ojeda29.0Will Republican win the House race for NC-09? - Richard Hudson72.0Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?68.5Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?29.5NC-09 General Election — Richard Ojeda30.0NC-09 General Election — Richard Hudson71.5
Show all 8 contracts
Will Richard Hudson win the North Carolina 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?71.0Will Richard Ojeda win the North Carolina 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?30.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 71.2 · rows open on the exchange
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