North Carolina Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.3enters as 3.3
Democrats win
96.7enters as 100 − 96.7 = 3.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does North Carolina decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in North Carolina? - Michael Whatley3.7Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?2.7Will Democratics win the Senate race in North Carolina? - Roy Cooper96.6Will Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?97.0Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?97.0North Carolina Senate General Election — Michael Whatley4.0
Show all 12 contracts
North Carolina US Senate Winner - Shannon Bray9.0North Carolina US Senate Winner - Michael Whatley6.0Will Michael Whatley win the North Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?4.0Will Roy Cooper win the North Carolina general election for US Senate in 2026?96.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina? - Republican (Whatley)4.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in North Carolina? - Democratic (Cooper)97.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.3 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
Other North Carolina races this cycle