ND-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.3enters as 97.3
Democrats win
2.8enters as 100 − 2.8 = 97.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does ND-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
North Dakota-At-Large House Winner - Trygve Hammer4.0North Dakota-At-Large House Winner - Julie Fedorchak99.0Will Democratic win the House race for ND-AL? - Trygve Hammer2.8Will Republican win the House race for ND-AL? - Julie Fedorchak97.3Will Julie Fedorchak win the North Dakota at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Trygve Hammer win the North Dakota at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?97.2Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat?2.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.3 · rows open on the exchange