NY-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.8enters as 2.8
Democrats win
97.3enters as 100 − 97.3 = 2.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NY-07? - Melvin Rivera3.5NY-07 General Election — Melvin Rivera7.0NY-07 General Election — Claire Valdez93.0Will Claire Valdez win the New York 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will Democratic win the House race for NY-07? - Claire Valdez98.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-07 House seat?0.8
Show all 7 contracts
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.8 · rows open on the exchange
Other New York races this cycle