NJ-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.1enters as 4.1
Democrats win
95.9enters as 100 − 95.9 = 4.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NJ-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
NJ-10 General Election — Carmen Bucco4.0NJ-10 General Election — LaMonica McIver94.0Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-10? - LaMonica McIver99.7Will Republican win the House race for NJ-10? - Carmen Bucco3.3Will LaMonica McIver win the New Jersey 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?94.0Will Alina Habba win the New Jersey 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?1.7Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?98.1
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.1 · rows open on the exchange
Other New Jersey races this cycle