New Jersey Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.9enters as 2.9
Democrats win
97.1enters as 100 − 97.1 = 2.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does New Jersey decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in New Jersey? - Justin Murphy3.0Will Democratics win the Senate race in New Jersey? - Cory Booker97.3New Jersey US Senate Winner - Justin Murphy4.0Will the Democrats win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?98.0New Jersey Senate General Election — Justin Murphy4.0New Jersey Senate General Election — Justin Murphy4.0
Show all 13 contracts
New Jersey Senate General Election — Cory Booker97.0New Jersey US Senate Winner - Cory Booker98.0Will Justin Murphy win the New Jersey general election for US Senate in 2026?4.0Will Cory Booker win the New Jersey general election for US Senate in 2026?97.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in New Jersey? - Republican (Murphy)3.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in New Jersey? - Democratic (Booker)99.0Will the Republicans win the New Jersey Senate race in 2026?1.9
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.9 · rows open on the exchange
Other New Jersey races this cycle